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Valadares Gaia FC vs Sao Joao de Ver

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E.

AI Match Summary

Sao Joao de Ver in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Joao de Ver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Valadares Gaia FC
11%
Draws
80%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Joao de Ver lately — more wins on the board than Valadares Gaia FC.
  • Sao Joao de Ver are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 25%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Joao de Ver vs Valadares Gaia FC
4:1
Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sao Joao de Ver vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:0
Dec 13, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Valadares Gaia FC vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Top Goalscorer Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 13 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Sao Joao de Ver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sao Joao de Ver let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Valadares Gaia FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sao Joao de Ver
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
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Sao Joao de Ver

(Away)
18 Jul
Uniao Lamas
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Jul
Braga
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
03 May
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1
Sanjoanense
28 Apr
AD Fafe
1 : 2
Sao Joao de Ver
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)