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Valadares Gaia FC vs Vila Cortez

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Valadares Gaia FC and Vila Cortez finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Valadares Gaia FC
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Cortez
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valadares Gaia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Valadares Gaia FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Vila Cortez
Matches Played 42 28
Wins 15 2
Draws 11 1
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Valadares Gaia FC vs Vila Cortez
8:0
Jan 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 95 / 100
Vila Cortez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Vila Cortez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vila Cortez conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vila Cortez registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Valadares Gaia FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia FC VS Vila Cortez
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
Page 1 of 9

Vila Cortez

(Away)
08 Sept
Vila Cortez
2 : 4
Anadia
11 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 1
Vila Cortez
10 Apr
Vila Cortez
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
03 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
8 : 0
Vila Cortez
14 Mar
Anadia
7 : 0
Vila Cortez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anadia22135439:1544
2Canelas 201022125528:1341
3Lusitania FC22116538:2639
4Sao Joao de Ver22108430:1438
5Sanjoanense22812226:1336
6Castro Daire22105723:2435
7Valadares Gaia FC22103936:2733
8SC Espinho2294933:2231
9Beira Mar2294930:2331
10Agueda22451317:2817
11Lusitano FCV22441417:3416
12Vila Cortez2211208:864
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)