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Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Porto
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia W host Maritimo W in the Liga BPI Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Valadares Gaia W have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Maritimo W's 0.9 scored and 2.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Valadares Gaia W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.88) point toward Valadares Gaia W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Valadares Gaia W
20%
Draws
16%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia W have won more games recently than Maritimo W.
  • Model gives Valadares Gaia W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia W Maritimo W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W
6:0
Jan 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W
2:3
Jan 7, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Maritimo W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia W 85 / 100
Maritimo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valadares Gaia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Valadares Gaia W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Maritimo W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia W VS Maritimo W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia W

(Home)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo W

(Away)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Braga W 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
4 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
5 FC Porto W 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Racing Power W 4 1 1 2 1:5 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Rio Ave W 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
9 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)