Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valdefierro vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almudevar in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Valdefierro
15%
Draws
42%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Almudevar have won more games recently than Valdefierro.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 20%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro Almudevar
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Almudevar
0:1
Apr 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Valdefierro
2:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Valdefierro
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Almudevar
2:0
Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Valdefierro
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 32 / 100
Almudevar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Almudevar conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Almudevar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Valdefierro scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almudevar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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Almudevar

(Away)
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
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