Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valdefierro vs CF Illueca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valdefierro in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valdefierro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Valdefierro
15%
Draws
42%
CF Illueca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Illueca lately — more wins on the board than Valdefierro.
  • Win probability leans Valdefierro's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 20%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro CF Illueca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs CF Illueca
2:1
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Valdefierro
3:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs CF Illueca
0:1
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Valdefierro
1:0
Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs CF Illueca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 36 / 100
CF Illueca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro CF Illueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CF Illueca conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

CF Illueca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Valdefierro scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CF Illueca
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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CF Illueca

(Away)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3
Atletico Monzon
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 22 15 4 3 34:11 49
2 Huesca B 22 13 6 3 36:18 45
3 CD Belchite 97 22 8 11 3 22:9 35
4 Zaragoza B 22 8 10 4 32:14 34
5 CF Illueca 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Binefar 22 8 8 6 29:17 32
7 Atletico Monzon 22 7 10 5 26:19 31
8 CD Carinena 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Tamarite 22 6 7 9 19:29 25
10 Valdefierro 22 6 4 12 20:36 22
11 Fraga 22 5 7 10 17:21 22
12 San Juan Zaragoza 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brea 22 12 6 4 34:12 42
2 CD Cuarte 22 11 6 5 32:21 39
3 Utebo FC 22 9 10 3 21:15 37
4 UD Barbastro 22 9 9 4 27:18 36
5 Borja 22 8 7 7 29:23 31
6 Calamocha 22 7 9 6 24:19 30
7 Sarinena 22 8 5 9 36:36 29
8 Epila 22 5 11 6 23:23 26
9 Robres 22 6 8 8 23:31 26
10 Almudevar 22 4 10 8 17:32 22
11 Villanueva CF 22 4 6 12 16:39 18
12 Sabinanigo 22 3 5 14 24:37 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)