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Valdefierro vs Sabinanigo

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Valdefierro and Sabinanigo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valdefierro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Valdefierro
15%
Draws
51%
Sabinanigo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabinanigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valdefierro come out ahead of Sabinanigo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sabinanigo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 19%
Sabinanigo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro Sabinanigo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sabinanigo
3:1
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sabinanigo vs Valdefierro
0:0
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sabinanigo vs Valdefierro
2:0
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sabinanigo
0:0
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sabinanigo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 28 / 100
Sabinanigo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro Sabinanigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabinanigo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabinanigo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Valdefierro found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Valdefierro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valdefierro VS Sabinanigo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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Sabinanigo

(Away)
26 Aug
Sabinanigo
1 : 0
Huesca B
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sabinanigo
1 : 2
Fraga
30 May
Tamarite
0 : 2
Sabinanigo
23 May
Sabinanigo
3 : 0
San Juan Zaragoza
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