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Valdefierro vs Sarinena

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Valdefierro and Sarinena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valdefierro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Valdefierro
20%
Draws
36%
Sarinena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sarinena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarinena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 19%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro Sarinena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Valdefierro
5:0
May 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sarinena
2:1
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Valdefierro
0:0
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sarinena
2:1
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Sarinena
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 24 / 100
Sarinena 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro Sarinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarinena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sarinena conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Valdefierro scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Valdefierro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valdefierro VS Sarinena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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Sarinena

(Away)
02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2
UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0
Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1
Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0
Fraga
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