Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valdefierro vs Teruel

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Valdefierro and Teruel finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teruel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Valdefierro
15%
Draws
12%
Teruel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Teruel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valdefierro are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Teruel here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 68%
Teruel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro Teruel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Teruel
0:1
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Teruel vs Valdefierro
2:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Teruel
1:5
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Teruel vs Valdefierro
2:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Teruel
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 68 / 100
Teruel 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro Teruel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valdefierro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Teruel's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Valdefierro scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Teruel let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Teruel
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
Page 1 of 6

Teruel

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
22 Aug
Teruel
0 : 2
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 22 15 4 3 34:11 49
2 Huesca B 22 13 6 3 36:18 45
3 CD Belchite 97 22 8 11 3 22:9 35
4 Zaragoza B 22 8 10 4 32:14 34
5 CF Illueca 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Binefar 22 8 8 6 29:17 32
7 Atletico Monzon 22 7 10 5 26:19 31
8 CD Carinena 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Tamarite 22 6 7 9 19:29 25
10 Valdefierro 22 6 4 12 20:36 22
11 Fraga 22 5 7 10 17:21 22
12 San Juan Zaragoza 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brea 22 12 6 4 34:12 42
2 CD Cuarte 22 11 6 5 32:21 39
3 Utebo FC 22 9 10 3 21:15 37
4 UD Barbastro 22 9 9 4 27:18 36
5 Borja 22 8 7 7 29:23 31
6 Calamocha 22 7 9 6 24:19 30
7 Sarinena 22 8 5 9 36:36 29
8 Epila 22 5 11 6 23:23 26
9 Robres 22 6 8 8 23:31 26
10 Almudevar 22 4 10 8 17:32 22
11 Villanueva CF 22 4 6 12 16:39 18
12 Sabinanigo 22 3 5 14 24:37 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)