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Valdelacalzada vs Santa Amalia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valdelacalzada play Santa Amalia in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valdelacalzada averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Santa Amalia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Valdelacalzada won 1, Santa Amalia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2016 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Valdelacalzada and 1.05 for Santa Amalia. This points to a Santa Amalia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Valdelacalzada
33%
Draws
40%
Santa Amalia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santa Amalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Amalia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Valdelacalzada.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Santa Amalia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Valdelacalzada Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdelacalzada Santa Amalia
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Santa Amalia
1:2
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Valdelacalzada
0:3
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Valdelacalzada
4:1
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Santa Amalia
1:2
Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Valdelacalzada
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdelacalzada 28 / 100
Santa Amalia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdelacalzada Santa Amalia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdelacalzada scored in 58% of their last 36 games.

Santa Amalia let in goals in 82% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Valdelacalzada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santa Amalia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santa Amalia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Extremadura UD382792106:2590
2CD Badajoz38269390:2587
3Arroyo38259478:2384
4Jerez CF38249569:2481
5Don Benito381812853:3966
6CD Azuaga3817111075:4762
7CD Calamonte382021668:6662
8Pueblonuevo3816111149:4159
9CD Coria3814101456:4452
10Diter Zafra381381745:6547
11Atletico San Jose Promesas381371839:5946
12Moralo3811121553:5845
13Fuente de Cantos381291746:6645
14CP Valdivia381271934:6343
15Olivenza FC388102038:6134
16CP Amanecer387131835:6634
17Santa Amalia387102135:7031
18Sanvicenteno38942536:8331
19Valdelacalzada38782329:7129
20Deportivo Pacense38662642:8024