Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Valdevez advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdevez
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Valdevez carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Valdevez taking it.
- Valdevez have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Valdevez, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Valdevez Clean Sheet 20%
Tocha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valdevez | Tocha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 9, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Valdevez vs Tocha
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valdevez 85 / 100
Tocha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valdevez Tocha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valdevez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valdevez scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.
Tocha let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Valdevez went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tocha
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Valdevez
(Home) 30 Aug
Valdevez
1 : 2 Leca
29 Jan
Valdevez
1 : 2 Nacional
14 Dec
Valdevez
3 : 1 Santa Clara
09 Nov
Valdevez
1 : 0 Gil Vicente
19 Oct
Olhanense
1 : 2 Valdevez
Page 1 of 3
30 Aug
Valdevez
1 : 2 Leca
29 Jan
Valdevez
1 : 2 Nacional
14 Dec
Valdevez
3 : 1 Santa Clara
09 Nov
Valdevez
1 : 0 Gil Vicente
13 Sept
Valdevez
2 : 1 Oliveirense
Page 1 of 2
Tocha
(Away) 21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4 Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4 Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2 Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1 Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 7
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2 Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1 Tocha
21 Apr
Anadia
2 : 0 Tocha
07 Apr
Academico Viseu
1 : 1 Tocha
17 Mar
Cinfaes
1 : 1 Tocha
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
