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Valdinievole Montecatini vs San Donato Tavarnelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 game between Valdinievole Montecatini and San Donato Tavarnelle finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Donato Tavarnelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valdinievole Montecatini
6%
Draws
90%
San Donato Tavarnelle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Donato Tavarnelle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on San Donato Tavarnelle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 20%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdinievole Montecatini San Donato Tavarnelle
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 1 12
Draws 6 14
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:4
Oct 15, 2017 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Valdinievole Montecatini
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdinievole Montecatini 10 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdinievole Montecatini San Donato Tavarnelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Valdinievole Montecatini scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

San Donato Tavarnelle let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.

Valdinievole Montecatini went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Donato Tavarnelle
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdinievole Montecatini

(Home)
31 Jul
Empoli
9 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Jul
AS Roma
10 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
06 May
Savona
6 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
29 Apr
Valdinievole Montecatini
1 : 0
FC Ponsacco
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
Page 1 of 6

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Away)
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albissola34216756:3069
2Sanremese34207758:3467
3FC Ponsacco341711649:3162
4Real Forte Querceta341612650:2760
5Viareggio34179857:4658
6Massese341511850:3356
7Savona341671153:3455
8Seravezza Pozzi341312944:3351
9San Donato Tavarnelle3412101241:3446
10Ghiviborgo3410141048:4544
11Ligorna3411101341:5043
12Sestri Levante341191435:3442
13Lavagnese341181535:4241
14Rignanese341081636:6038
15Scandicci341042042:5434
16Finale346121638:4930
17Argentina34492129:7121
18Valdinievole Montecatini34292319:7415
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)