Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018

Sanremese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valdinievole Montecatini play Sanremese in the Serie D - Group E 2017/2018. Sanremese are favorites here. Recently, Valdinievole Montecatini averaged 0.43 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. Sanremese averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Valdinievole Montecatini won 0, Sanremese won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2018 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Valdinievole Montecatini and 0.99 for Sanremese. This points to a Sanremese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Valdinievole Montecatini

16%

Draws

72%

Sanremese

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Valdinievole Montecatini picked up more points recently compared to Sanremese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 23%

Sanremese Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valdinievole Montecatini	Sanremese
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	1	18
Draws	6	10
Losses	23	10
Goals Scored	0.43	1.34
Goals Conceded	2.83	0.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group E

Sanremese vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

5:0

Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group E

Valdinievole Montecatini vs Sanremese

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Apr 2, 2017 Serie D - Group E

Valdinievole Montecatini vs Sanremese

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:4

Nov 20, 2016 Serie D - Group E

Sanremese vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdinievole Montecatini 15 / 100

Sanremese 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valdinievole Montecatini Sanremese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)

Secondary Pick Sanremese & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +200%

25.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Valdinievole Montecatini attacking → ← attacking Sanremese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdinievole Montecatini scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Sanremese let in goals in 50% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Valdinievole Montecatini went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sanremese lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 64

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albissola	34	21	6	7	56:30	69
2	Sanremese	34	20	7	7	58:34	67
3	FC Ponsacco	34	17	11	6	49:31	62
4	Real Forte Querceta	34	16	12	6	50:27	60
5	Viareggio	34	17	9	8	57:46	58
6	Massese	34	15	11	8	50:33	56
7	Savona	34	16	7	11	53:34	55
8	Seravezza Pozzi	34	13	12	9	44:33	51
9	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	12	10	12	41:34	46
10	Ghiviborgo	34	10	14	10	48:45	44
11	Ligorna	34	11	10	13	41:50	43
12	Sestri Levante	34	11	9	14	35:34	42
13	Lavagnese	34	11	8	15	35:42	41
14	Rignanese	34	10	8	16	36:60	38
15	Scandicci	34	10	4	20	42:54	34
16	Finale	34	6	12	16	38:49	30
17	Argentina	34	4	9	21	29:71	21
18	Valdinievole Montecatini	34	2	9	23	19:74	15