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Valencia U19 vs Chelsea U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 Estadio Antonio Puchades
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valencia U19 play Chelsea U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valencia U19 averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Chelsea U19 averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Valencia U19 won 1, Chelsea U19 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 27, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Valencia U19 and 2.31 for Chelsea U19. This points to a Chelsea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valencia U19
25%
Draws
44%
Chelsea U19
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Valencia U19 picked up more points recently compared to Chelsea U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Valencia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia U19 Chelsea U19
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Valencia U19 vs Chelsea U19
2:1
Sep 17, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19
3:3
Feb 23, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseda
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escobar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia U19 30 / 100
Chelsea U19 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia U19 Chelsea U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chelsea U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Valencia U19 attacking → ← attacking Chelsea U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia U19 scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Chelsea U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Valencia U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chelsea U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Madrid U19641116:1013
2Club Brugge U19631212:910
3PSG U19620410:156
4Galatasaray U1962049:136
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayern U19642018:214
2Crvena zvezda U1963218:1111
3Tottenham U19621312:127
4Olympiacos Piraeus U1960152:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atalanta U19641110:513
2Din. Zagreb U1963216:511
3Manchester City U19621311:87
4Shakhtar U1960245:142
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus U19650117:415
2Atl. Madrid U19640211:812
3Leverkusen U1961146:164
4Lokomotiv Moscow U1961147:134
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Liverpool U19641117:613
2Salzburg U19631219:1110
3Genk U1962225:68
4Napoli U1960245:232
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter U19640215:712
2Dortmund U19640212:912
3Slavia Prague U1963039:169
4Barcelona U1961058:123
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U19650117:615
2Lyon U19640213:1012
3RB Leipzig U1961145:104
4Zenit St Petersburg U1961147:164
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ajax U19632113:711
2Lille U1963127:810
3Chelsea U1961327:96
4Valencia U19612310:135