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Valencia vs Barcelona

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lamine Yamal
Assist: Lopez F.
9'
Lamine Yamal
22' Event
Lopez F.
Assist: Gordon A.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Valencia and Barcelona finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Valencia
15%
Draws
71%
Barcelona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Barcelona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barcelona a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barcelona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Barcelona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 23
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.37 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Barcelona
0:5
May 23, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Barcelona
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Valencia
6:0
Feb 6, 2025 Copa del Rey
Valencia vs Barcelona
0:5
Jan 26, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Valencia
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Barcelona Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamine Yamal
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 10 / 100
Barcelona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Barcelona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Valencia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barcelona let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Valencia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Barcelona
0.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
25 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1
Betis
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Barcelona

(Away)
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4
Barcelona
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1
Feyenoord
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 28:6 18
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
3 Betis 6 5 0 1 8:6 15
4 Atl. Madrid 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
5 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
6 Alaves 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 Dep. A Coruna 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
8 Espanyol 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Racing Santander 6 2 1 3 11:16 7
11 Rayo Vallecano 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
12 Real Sociedad 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
13 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 5:12 7
14 Villarreal 6 1 2 3 10:11 5
15 Levante 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
16 Getafe 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
17 Celta Vigo 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Valencia 6 1 1 4 2:10 4
19 Malaga 6 0 3 3 3:11 3
20 Elche 6 0 2 4 8:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)