Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valencia vs Girona

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Saravia Renzo
41'
Moreno A.
50' Event
Ramazani L.
Assist: Guerra J.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Valencia and Girona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Valencia
28%
Draws
22%
Girona
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valencia come out ahead of Girona on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Valencia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Valencia Clean Sheet 68%
Girona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Girona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Girona
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Valencia
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Valencia
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Girona
2:0
May 19, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Girona
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramazani L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadiq U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Girona Compare

Top Goalscorer Roca J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 59 / 100
Girona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Girona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Girona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Valencia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Girona
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2
Valencia
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2
Castellon
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0
Eldense
18 Jul
Petro Atletico
3 : 1
Valencia
23 May
Valencia
3 : 1
Barcelona
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Girona

(Away)
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Girona
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona38311695:3694
2Real Madrid38275677:3586
3Villarreal382261072:4672
4Atl. Madrid382161162:4469
5Betis381515859:4860
6Celta Vigo3814121253:4854
7Getafe381561732:3851
8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:4450
9Valencia3813101546:5549
10Real Sociedad3811131459:6146
11Espanyol3812101643:5546
12Ath Bilbao381361943:5845
13Sevilla381271946:6043
14Alaves3811101744:5643
15Elche3810131549:5743
16Levante381191847:6142
17Osasuna381191844:5042
18Mallorca381191847:5742
19Girona389141539:5541
20Real Oviedo386112126:6029
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)