Sport Picks
Valencia vs Real Sociedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia 
Match Events
11'
11'
De Haas J.
12'
12'
Gaya J.
26'
26'
Sucic L.
Assist: Ochieng J.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga game between Valencia and Real Sociedad finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sociedad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Sociedad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Valencia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Real Sociedad are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valencia Clean Sheet 16%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valencia | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
2:3
May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3:4
Aug 16, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Mayol A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Real Sociedad Compare
Top Goalscorer Sucic L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barrenetxea A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valencia 15 / 100
Real Sociedad 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valencia Real Sociedad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Sociedad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Sociedad let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Valencia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Real Sociedad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valencia VS Real Sociedad
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Valencia
(Home) 20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1 Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5 Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1 Valencia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5 Barcelona
25 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1 Betis
22 Aug
Valencia
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
12 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1 Teruel
Page 1 of 3
Real Sociedad
(Away) 02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
26 Aug
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Real Sociedad
21 Aug
Betis
1 : 0 Real Sociedad
15 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 1 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
