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Stadium Background

Valenciennes vs Amiens SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valenciennes host Amiens SC in the Ligue 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Amiens SC have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Valenciennes have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor Valenciennes slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.31) point toward Valenciennes. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Valenciennes
30%
Draws
51%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valenciennes come out ahead of Amiens SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Amiens SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 18%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciennes Amiens SC
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Valenciennes vs Amiens SC
0:1
Sep 23, 2023 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Valenciennes
0:0
Apr 22, 2023 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Valenciennes
0:2
Dec 26, 2022 Ligue 2
Valenciennes vs Amiens SC
1:1
Jul 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Amiens SC vs Valenciennes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciennes 10 / 100
Amiens SC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciennes Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valenciennes scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Amiens SC conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Valenciennes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valenciennes VS Amiens SC
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciennes

(Home)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

Amiens SC

(Away)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)