Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valenciennes vs Aubagne FC

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Rouai M.
65'
Sub
Berrabha D. In: Boudraa S.
Out: Berrabha D.
66'
Sub
Boissier R. In: Belloumou S.
Out: Boissier R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Valenciennes and Aubagne FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Valenciennes
11%
Draws
9%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Valenciennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Valenciennes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Valenciennes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 68%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciennes Aubagne FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Aubagne FC
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Valenciennes
1:1
May 16, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Valenciennes
0:3
Aug 16, 2024 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Aubagne FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciennes 86 / 100
Aubagne FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciennes Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Valenciennes's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Valenciennes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valenciennes VS Aubagne FC
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciennes

(Home)
22 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 3
Valenciennes
18 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Valenciennes
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

Aubagne FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)