Sport Picks
Valenciennes vs Caen
France
National 2025/2026 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The National 2025/2026 game between Valenciennes and Caen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valenciennes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Valenciennes come out ahead of Caen on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenciennes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenciennes Compare
Caen Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valenciennes's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Caen conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Valenciennes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valenciennes
(Home)Caen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury-Merogis | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
