Sport Picks
Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Prediction & H2H Stats
France
National 2025/2026 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes 
Match Events
12'
12'
Appuah S.
Assist: Rouai M.
22'
22'
Koembo J.
45'
45'
Coeff A.
AI Match Summary
The National 2025/2026 game between Valenciennes and Chateauroux finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valenciennes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Valenciennes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 20%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenciennes | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Chateauroux
2:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Valenciennes
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Valenciennes
1:2
Sep 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Chateauroux
3:1
Jan 23, 2021 Ligue 2
Chateauroux vs Valenciennes
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Appuah S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Courtet G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Chateauroux Compare
Top Goalscorer Freitas R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Verdier Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valenciennes 31 / 100
Chateauroux 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valenciennes Chateauroux
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valenciennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chateauroux conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Valenciennes found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Recent resilience: Valenciennes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valenciennes VS Chateauroux
1.13 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Valenciennes
(Home) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 3
Chateauroux
(Away) 02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0 Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1 Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1 Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1 Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0 Chateauroux
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0 Chateauroux
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1 Chateauroux
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0 Chateauroux
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2 Chateauroux
30 Apr
Dijon
1 : 2 Chateauroux
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
