Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valenciennes vs Concarneau

France France

Ligue 3 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Janno S.
46'
Sub
Sidibe A. In: Macon B.
Out: Sidibe A.
55'
Divialle C.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Valenciennes and Concarneau finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Valenciennes
35%
Draws
42%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valenciennes come out ahead of Concarneau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Concarneau a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 13%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciennes Concarneau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Concarneau
0:0
Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Valenciennes
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Concarneau
1:2
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Valenciennes
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Concarneau
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciennes 19 / 100
Concarneau 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciennes Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenciennes scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Concarneau let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Valenciennes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valenciennes VS Concarneau
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciennes

(Home)
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
Page 1 of 6

Concarneau

(Away)
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 8 5 3 0 12:7 18
2 Rouen 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
3 Caen 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
4 Concarneau 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
5 Versailles 8 4 1 3 12:12 13
6 Amiens SC 8 3 3 2 9:3 12
7 Cannes 8 2 6 0 8:3 12
8 Thionville 8 3 3 2 14:13 12
9 Paris 13 Atletico 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Le Puy-en-Velay 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
11 Quevilly 8 2 4 2 7:9 10
12 Bastia 8 3 1 4 6:10 10
13 Fleury 91 8 2 3 3 12:10 9
14 Valenciennes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
15 Orleans 8 2 2 4 6:10 8
16 Aubagne FC 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
18 Villefranche 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)