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Valenciennes vs Orleans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valenciennes host Orleans in the Ligue 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Valenciennes have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Orleans's 1.17 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Orleans slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Orleans. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Valenciennes
35%
Draws
28%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valenciennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Orleans have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Valenciennes are scoring more at 1.2.
  • Model gives Valenciennes a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 20%
Orleans Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciennes Orleans
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Orleans
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Valenciennes
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Orleans
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Valenciennes
4:1
Apr 17, 2020 Ligue 2
Valenciennes vs Orleans
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciennes 58 / 100
Orleans 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciennes Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valenciennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenciennes scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Orleans conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Valenciennes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valenciennes VS Orleans
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciennes

(Home)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
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Orleans

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)