Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
D'Iglio G.
45'
45'
Alfiero V.
45'
45'
Pacchioni G.
AI Match Summary
Alessandria in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alessandria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Valenzana lately — more wins on the board than Alessandria.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Alessandria have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 18%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenzana | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Alessandria
1:2
Apr 25, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Alessandria vs Valenzana
1:0
Nov 27, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Valenzana vs Alessandria
1:1
Mar 1, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Valenzana vs Alessandria
0:1
Oct 12, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Alessandria vs Valenzana
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenzana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pacchioni G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Alessandria Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Iglio G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valenzana 36 / 100
Alessandria 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valenzana Alessandria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alessandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alessandria has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Valenzana scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Alessandria lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valenzana VS Alessandria
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Valenzana
(Home) 20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2 Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1 GSD Lascaris
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1 Valenzana
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3 Chisola
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1 GSD Lascaris
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3 Chisola
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1 Gozzano
Page 1 of 3
Alessandria
(Away) 16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1 Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2 Juventus U23
28 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2 Vicenza
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1 Alessandria
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
20 Apr
Legnago Salus
0 : 0 Alessandria
06 Apr
Fiorenzuola
2 : 0 Alessandria
26 Mar
Triestina
3 : 1 Alessandria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derthona FbC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Saluzzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | GSD Lascaris | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 5 | Fezzanese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Asti Calcio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Millesimo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Alessandria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Sanremese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Gozzano | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 11 | Imperia Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Ligorna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Chisola | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Bra | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Borgosesia Calcio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
