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Valenzana vs Sanremese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Valenzana Logo

Valenzana

1 - 1
FT
Sanremese Logo

Sanremese

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Grosso E.
90' Event
Belecco L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Valenzana and Sanremese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Valenzana
35%
Draws
45%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanremese come out ahead of Valenzana on wins alone.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 13%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenzana Sanremese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Sanremese
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Valenzana
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Sanremese
1:1
Mar 13, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Sanremese vs Valenzana
0:0
Oct 24, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Valenzana vs Sanremese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valenzana Compare

Top Goalscorer Belecco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosso E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenzana 31 / 100
Sanremese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenzana Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenzana scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sanremese conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Valenzana stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valenzana VS Sanremese
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenzana

(Home)
01 Nov
Celle Varazze
2 : 1
Valenzana
28 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 0
AS Biellese
25 Oct
Valenzana
0 : 1
Ligorna
18 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Valenzana
11 Oct
Valenzana
1 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Sanremese

(Away)
01 Nov
Sanremese
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
28 Oct
Sant'Angelo
0 : 1
Sanremese
24 Oct
Millesimo
1 : 1
Sanremese
18 Oct
Sanremese
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
11 Oct
Valenzana
1 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)