Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valerenga 2 vs Baerum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Renshuslokken J.
47' Event
Apold-Aasen L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Valerenga 2 and Baerum finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Valerenga 2
15%
Draws
0%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga 2 come out ahead of Baerum on wins alone.
  • Valerenga 2 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Valerenga 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga 2 Baerum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.55 2.79
Goals Conceded 2.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Valerenga 2 vs Baerum
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
6:3
Oct 6, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Valerenga 2 vs Baerum
4:0
Jun 20, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
4:0
Nov 6, 2021 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Valerenga 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Renshuslokken J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Apold-Aasen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Baerum Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 2 65 / 100
Baerum 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga 2 Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga 2's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Baerum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Baerum's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga 2 VS Baerum
2.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Nordstrand
0 : 3
Valerenga 2
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Ullern
2 : 1
Valerenga 2
12 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Gamle Oslo
05 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Konnerud
Page 1 of 6

Baerum

(Away)
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
Page 1 of 6