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Valerenga U19 vs Elfsborg U19

Norway Norway

Junior Elite Tournament 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Valerenga U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Valerenga U19
15%
Draws
42%
Elfsborg U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Valerenga U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elfsborg U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Valerenga U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valerenga U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valerenga U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Elfsborg U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga U19 Elfsborg U19
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2016 Junior Elite Tournament
Valerenga U19 vs Elfsborg U19
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga U19 27 / 100
Elfsborg U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga U19 Elfsborg U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Elfsborg U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Valerenga U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga U19 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga U19

(Home)
12 Aug
Brann U19
0 : 1
Valerenga U19
21 Jul
Valerenga U19
1 : 4
Brann U19
28 Apr
Valerenga U19
2 : 0
Kongsvinger U19
27 Mar
Odds BK U19
6 : 0
Valerenga U19
13 Mar
Kristiansund U19
2 : 3
Valerenga U19
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg U19

(Away)
08 Dec
Elfsborg U19
0 : 3
Malmo FF U19
06 Dec
Esbjerg U19
2 : 3
Elfsborg U19
17 Nov
Sogndal U19
0 : 2
Elfsborg U19
15 Nov
Elfsborg U19
4 : 2
Mjondalen U19
23 Oct
Midtjylland U19
1 : 0
Elfsborg U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Midtjylland U19 2
Rosenborg U19 0
Valerenga U19 2
Elfsborg U19 1
Malmo FF U19 4
Odense U19 1
Brommapojkarna U19 2
Molde U19 4