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Valerenga U19 vs Lillestrom U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Forcha E.
30' Event
Kristiansen M.
70' Event
Chaminta A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Lillestrom U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valerenga U19
15%
Draws
49%
Lillestrom U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lillestrom U19 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Lillestrom U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lillestrom U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valerenga U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga U19 Lillestrom U19
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:3
Aug 19, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Valerenga U19
0:0
Apr 12, 2022 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Lillestrom U19
3:1
Mar 27, 2022 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Valerenga U19
0:3
Mar 21, 2021 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Valerenga U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Forcha E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristiansen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chaminta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga U19 10 / 100
Lillestrom U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga U19 Lillestrom U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom U19 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Valerenga U19 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Valerenga U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga U19 VS Lillestrom U19
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga U19

(Home)
12 Aug
Brann U19
0 : 1
Valerenga U19
21 Jul
Valerenga U19
1 : 4
Brann U19
28 Apr
Valerenga U19
2 : 0
Kongsvinger U19
27 Mar
Odds BK U19
6 : 0
Valerenga U19
13 Mar
Kristiansund U19
2 : 3
Valerenga U19
Page 1 of 7

Lillestrom U19

(Away)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Odds BK U19 2
Stabaek U19 3
Aalesund U19 7
Haugesund U19 6
Valerenga U19 1
Lillestrom U19 3
Tromso U19 4
Brann U19 6
Semi-finals
Stabaek U19 10
Aalesund U19 3
Lillestrom U19 4
Brann U19 5
Final
Stabaek U19 1
Brann U19 2