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Valerenga vs Stromsgodset

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
44' Event
Nasberg I.
47' Event
Westergaard M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Valerenga and Stromsgodset finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valerenga
30%
Draws
34%
Stromsgodset
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valerenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Stromsgodset haven't matched Valerenga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valerenga a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Stromsgodset
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 3.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
4:3
Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Stromsgodset vs Valerenga
0:2
Mar 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Stromsgodset vs Valerenga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westergaard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stromsgodset Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pingel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 34 / 100
Stromsgodset 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Stromsgodset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stromsgodset let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Valerenga scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Valerenga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Stromsgodset
2.13 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
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Stromsgodset

(Away)
25 Jul
Stromsgodset
1 : 1
Lyn
04 Jul
Hodd
4 : 3
Stromsgodset
27 Jun
Stromsgodset
2 : 2
Odds BK
21 Jun
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Stromsgodset
14 Jun
Stromsgodset
6 : 1
Raufoss
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