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Valerenga vs Stromsgodset

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
44' Event
Nasberg I.
47' Event
Westergaard M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Valerenga and Stromsgodset finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Valerenga
20%
Draws
52%
Stromsgodset
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stromsgodset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Valerenga haven't matched Stromsgodset's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Stromsgodset
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.1 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
4:3
Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Stromsgodset vs Valerenga
0:2
Mar 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Stromsgodset vs Valerenga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westergaard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Stromsgodset Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pingel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 30 / 100
Stromsgodset 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Stromsgodset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Stromsgodset let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Valerenga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Stromsgodset
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
23 Aug
Christiania BK
2 : 7
Valerenga
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Stromsgodset

(Away)
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1
Stromsgodset
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
26 Aug
Stromsgodset
3 : 1
Hodd
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