Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Valerenga host Tromso in the Eliteserien. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tromso have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Valerenga have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Tromso slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.56, favoring Tromso. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Tromso lately — more wins on the board than Valerenga.
- Win probability leans Valerenga's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valerenga | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valerenga found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Tromso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Valerenga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valerenga
(Home)Tromso
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58:20 | 56 |
| 2 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59:22 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52:35 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32:31 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 40:37 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:36 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 38:46 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 33:48 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22:30 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39:51 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:54 | 16 |
