Sport Picks

Norway

Toppserien Women Intility Arena

Aalesund W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valerenga W play Aalesund W in the Toppserien Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valerenga W averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Aalesund W averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Valerenga W won 3, Aalesund W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Valerenga W and 2.25 for Aalesund W. This points to a Aalesund W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Valerenga W

15%

Draws

49%

Aalesund W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Valerenga W picked up more points recently compared to Aalesund W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Valerenga W Clean Sheet 10%

Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valerenga W	Aalesund W
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	18	27
Draws	2	1
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	2.16	2.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Norway Cup Women

Valerenga W vs Aalesund W

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

Mar 21, 2026 Toppserien Women

Valerenga W vs Aalesund W

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Jun 21, 2023 Norway Cup Women

Valerenga W vs Aalesund W

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

5:2

Aug 7, 2019 Norway Cup Women

Aalesund W vs Valerenga W

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Aug 13, 2013 Norway Cup Women

Aalesund W vs Valerenga W

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunde K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.73

Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 34 / 100

Aalesund W 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valerenga W Aalesund W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aalesund W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Valerenga W attacking → ← attacking Aalesund W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Aalesund W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Valerenga W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aalesund W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 82

3.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brann W	12	10	2	0	37:3	32
2	Aalesund W	11	8	1	2	27:12	25
3	Rosenborg W	12	7	3	2	21:13	24
4	Valerenga W	12	6	1	5	27:18	19
5	Stabaek W	12	5	2	5	18:12	17
6	Lyn W	11	4	4	3	20:11	16
7	LSK Kvinner W	11	4	2	5	17:19	14
8	Haugesund W	12	4	2	6	17:30	14
9	Molde W	11	3	2	6	18:22	11
10	Roa W	11	2	3	6	9:19	9
11	Honefoss W	11	2	2	7	10:23	8
12	Bodo/Glimt W	10	0	2	8	5:44	2