Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valerenga W vs Haugesund W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Arnesen R.
19' Event
Rasmussen A.
Assist: Nybru K.
63'
Sub
Inauen N. In: Lowry H.
Out: Inauen N.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Valerenga W and Haugesund W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Valerenga W
20%
Draws
9%
Haugesund W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Haugesund W haven't matched Valerenga W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valerenga W a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 19%
Haugesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga W Haugesund W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.58 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Haugesund W
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Toppserien Women
Haugesund W vs Valerenga W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnesen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Preus M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Haugesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmussen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 85 / 100
Haugesund W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga W Haugesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Haugesund W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Valerenga W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Valerenga W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga W VS Haugesund W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga W

(Home)
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
02 Sept
Valerenga W
7 : 1
Radomlje W
26 Aug
Radomlje W
0 : 2
Valerenga W
19 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Honefoss W
Page 1 of 7

Haugesund W

(Away)
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
13 Sept
Haugesund W
0 : 1
Rosenborg W
22 Aug
Aalesund W
5 : 1
Haugesund W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
20 Jun
Molde W
3 : 3
Haugesund W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 16 14 2 0 52:4 44
2 Aalesund W 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Rosenborg W 16 11 3 2 31:18 36
4 Valerenga W 16 10 1 5 41:24 31
5 Stabaek W 16 7 3 6 33:19 24
6 Lyn W 16 6 4 6 29:22 22
7 Molde W 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
8 LSK Kvinner W 16 4 3 9 22:31 15
9 Haugesund W 16 4 3 9 20:39 15
10 Honefoss W 16 3 3 10 12:29 12
11 Roa W 16 2 5 9 15:34 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 16 0 3 13 9:64 3
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)