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Valerenga W vs Rosenborg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Brekken S.
Assist: Hegg E.
38' Event
Reeves J.
46'
Sub
Lowry H. In: Preus M.
Out: Lowry H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Toppserien Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valerenga W
30%
Draws
31%
Rosenborg W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Rosenborg W haven't matched Valerenga W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 14%
Rosenborg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga W Rosenborg W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.56 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Rosenborg W
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Toppserien Women
Rosenborg W vs Valerenga W
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Norway Cup Women
Rosenborg W vs Valerenga W
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Toppserien Women
Rosenborg W vs Valerenga W
1:3
May 15, 2025 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Rosenborg W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brekken S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Rosenborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reeves J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 39 / 100
Rosenborg W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga W Rosenborg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Rosenborg W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Valerenga W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga W VS Rosenborg W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga W

(Home)
04 Oct
Valerenga W
1 : 1
Rosenborg W
30 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Feyenoord W
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
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Rosenborg W

(Away)
04 Oct
Valerenga W
1 : 1
Rosenborg W
30 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 1
Liberec W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
23 Sept
Liberec W
3 : 1
Rosenborg W
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)