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Stadium Background

Valeriodoce vs Ipatinga

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Igor Badio
27' Event
Josimar

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Valeriodoce
30%
Draws
23%
Ipatinga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valeriodoce lately — more wins on the board than Ipatinga.
  • Win probability leans Valeriodoce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Ipatinga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Ipatinga
1:1
Jun 20, 2026 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Valeriodoce
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Ipatinga
2:3
May 23, 2025 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Valeriodoce
1:0
Mar 25, 2009 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Valeriodoce
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valeriodoce Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Badio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ipatinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Josimar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 85 / 100
Ipatinga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Ipatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valeriodoce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ipatinga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Valeriodoce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS Ipatinga
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
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Ipatinga

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)