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Valeriodoce vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Valeriodoce and Mamore finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valeriodoce
33%
Draws
27%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of Mamore on wins alone.
  • Valeriodoce are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Mamore
Matches Played 49 29
Wins 23 7
Draws 18 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Valeriodoce
1:1
Nov 23, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Mamore
1:2
Jan 23, 2005 Mineiro
Mamore vs Valeriodoce
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 40 / 100
Mamore 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 49 recent games.

Recent resilience: Valeriodoce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mamore conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS Mamore
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3