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Valeriodoce vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Mamore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Valeriodoce
30%
Draws
33%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of Mamore on wins alone.
  • Valeriodoce are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Valeriodoce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mamore, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valeriodoce Mamore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Valeriodoce
1:1
Nov 23, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Mamore
1:2
Jan 23, 2005 Mineiro
Mamore vs Valeriodoce
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valeriodoce 58 / 100
Mamore 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valeriodoce Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valeriodoce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valeriodoce's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Valeriodoce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valeriodoce VS Mamore
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valeriodoce

(Home)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 6

Mamore

(Away)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce 1
Contagem 0
Pocos de Caldas 1
America TO 5
Mamore 3
Araxa 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Guarani-MG 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 4
America TO 3
Mamore 5
Guarani-MG 4
Final
Valeriodoce 2
Mamore 3