Sport Picks
Valka vs FK Auda Riga
Latvia
Latvian Cup 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Valka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Auda Riga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- FK Auda Riga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives FK Auda Riga a 85% chance of winning this.
- FK Auda Riga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Valka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Valka Clean Sheet 20%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valka | FK Auda Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 19 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.53 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2009 Latvian Cup
Valka vs FK Auda Riga
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valka 10 / 100
FK Auda Riga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valka FK Auda Riga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valka found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).
Defensive concern: FK Auda Riga conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS FK Auda Riga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Valka
(Home) 30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1 Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7 Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2 Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4
30 May
Valka
1 : 5 Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9 Aliance
28 May
Valka
0 : 7 Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2 Gulbenes
23 Aug
Valka
2 : 5 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 3
FK Auda Riga
(Away) 06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0 Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
13 Aug
Dinamo City
4 : 0 FK Auda Riga
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1 FK Auda Riga
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1 FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
Viesulis 1
Ozolnieki 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Gulbene 2
Adazi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 4
Elvi 1
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
Kauguri-PBLC -
TBD -
FK Olaine 0
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flaminko 10
JFC Dobele 0
Brali 3
FK 1625 Liepaja 4
FK Metta -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 1
Priekuli 0
Bebri 4
Upesciems 5
Valka 5
FK Alberts 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Adazi 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 0
FC Jurmala 2
Kauguri-PBLC 8
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
Flaminko 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Metta 4
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 2
Upesciems 3
Valka 1
FK Auda Riga 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 2
Tranzits 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 4
Ventspils 4
FC Jurmala 0
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Skonto 3
Olimps Riga 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Metta 1
RFS 3
Blazma 5
Upesciems 0
Valka 0
FK Daugava Riga 13
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 4
FK Liepaja 3
Ventspils 0
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 4
RFS 0
Blazma 0
FK Daugava Riga 4
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Final
Jelgava 3
FK Daugava Riga 2
