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Valka vs Jekabpils SC

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valka in this Latvian Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Valka
15%
Draws
85%
Jekabpils SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jekabpils SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jekabpils SC have won more games recently than Valka.
  • Win probability leans Jekabpils SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Jekabpils SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Valka Clean Sheet 10%
Jekabpils SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valka Jekabpils SC
Matches Played 17 15
Wins 5 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.41 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.53 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2010 Latvian Cup
Valka vs Jekabpils SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valka 10 / 100
Jekabpils SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valka Jekabpils SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jekabpils SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jekabpils SC let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Attacking prowess: Valka scored in 71% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jekabpils SC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valka VS Jekabpils SC
1 Goals Scored 2
5.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valka

(Home)
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7
Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2
Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4

Jekabpils SC

(Away)
15 Jul
Jekabpils SC
0 : 6
Alberts JDFS
23 Jun
Jekabpils SC
3 : 1
Ogre United
11 Jun
Jekabpils SC
:
FK Limbazi
27 May
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Jekabpils SC
10 Jul
Skanste
6 : 1
Jekabpils SC
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FK Daugava Riga 3
Valmiera 1
RFS 1
Ventspils 2
Skonto 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 2
FK Liepaja 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Final
Ventspils 3
FK Liepaja 1