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Valka vs Rinuzi

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Rinuzi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Valka
15%
Draws
85%
Rinuzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rinuzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rinuzi's 2.33 goals per match outpaces what Valka have produced (1.41).
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rinuzi taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rinuzi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Valka Clean Sheet 10%
Rinuzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valka Rinuzi
Matches Played 17 9
Wins 5 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.41 2.33
Goals Conceded 4.53 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2012 Latvian Cup
Valka vs Rinuzi
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valka 10 / 100
Rinuzi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valka Rinuzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rinuzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rinuzi has conceded goals in 100% of their last 9 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Valka found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).

Difficult form: Rinuzi registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valka VS Rinuzi
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
4.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valka

(Home)
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7
Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2
Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4

Rinuzi

(Away)
13 Jun
Riga United
3 : 0
Rinuzi
13 Jul
Rinuzi
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
06 Jul
SFK United
1 : 2
Rinuzi
20 Jun
FK Carnikava
4 : 5
Rinuzi
02 Jun
Rinuzi
7 : 2
Riga United
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
FK Alberts 2
Ludzas SK 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
RFS -
TBD -
Brali 1
Mersrags 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Valka 2
Rinuzi 4
FK Ilukste -
TBD -
TBD -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Saldus 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Rezekne 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
RFS 10
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Valmiera 1
Rinuzi 2
FK Ilukste 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
TBD -
Gulbene -
Skonto -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 0
Tukums 2000 1
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 3
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FC Jurmala 7
FK Metta 1
RFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Daugava Riga 6
Rinuzi 0
FK Ilukste 1
Gulbene 4
Skonto 6
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FC Jurmala 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
FK Daugava Riga 7
Gulbene 0
Skonto 1
FK Liepaja 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
FK Liepaja 2
Final
Ventspils 2
FK Liepaja 1