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Valladares vs Arosa SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Comparada Gonzalez A.
36' Event
Rivera J.
44' Event
Pereira J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Valladares and Arosa SC finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Valladares
35%
Draws
22%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valladares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Arosa SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valladares's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Valladares Clean Sheet 68%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladares Arosa SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Arosa SC
0:4
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Valladares
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Arosa SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Comparada Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladares 95 / 100
Arosa SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladares Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Valladares scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Valladares remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Arosa SC has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arosa SC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladares

(Home)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
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Arosa SC

(Away)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)