Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valladares vs Estradense Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gomez R.
47' Event
Fernandez H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 game between Valladares and Estradense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Valladares
35%
Draws
30%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estradense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valladares's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Valladares Clean Sheet 68%
Estradense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladares Estradense
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Valladares
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Valladares vs Estradense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladares Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladares 50 / 100
Estradense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladares Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valladares scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Estradense let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Valladares stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estradense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladares

(Home)
11 May
Valladares
3 : 1
Silva SD
03 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Valladares
27 Apr
Valladares
0 : 0
Gran Pena
20 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Valladares
17 Apr
Valladares
2 : 2
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

Estradense

(Away)
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ourense 34 21 11 2 54:20 74
2 Estradense 34 18 6 10 52:37 60
3 Sarriana 34 18 5 11 66:48 59
4 Racing Club Villalbes 34 16 10 8 40:28 58
5 Noia 34 14 13 7 42:31 55
6 Arosa SC 34 15 10 9 58:46 55
7 Alondras 34 14 10 10 44:40 52
8 Lugo B 34 12 9 13 43:45 45
9 CD Boiro 34 11 11 12 40:39 44
10 Somozas 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
11 Gran Pena 34 9 13 12 44:51 40
12 Viveiro 34 11 6 17 47:52 39
13 Silva SD 34 9 12 13 40:48 39
14 Atletico Arteixo 34 9 11 14 40:42 38
15 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 7 17 29:45 37
16 Valladares 34 8 13 13 33:52 37
17 Villalonga 34 10 6 18 32:51 36
18 Betanzos CF 34 6 7 21 29:51 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)