Sport Picks
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
35'
35'
Gonzalez Mora J.
45'
45'
Chinedu B.
47'
47'
Carvajal A.
AI Match Summary
Valladolid Promesas in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valladolid Promesas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valladolid Promesas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valladolid Promesas average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Real Avila's 1.75.
- Win probability leans Valladolid Promesas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 68%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valladolid Promesas | Real Avila |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
7:2
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Valladolid Promesas
2:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Valladolid Promesas
2:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valladolid Promesas Compare
Top Goalscorer Chinedu B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Carvajal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Real Avila Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Mora J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castano V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valladolid Promesas 95 / 100
Real Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valladolid Promesas Real Avila
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Valladolid Promesas scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Real Avila conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Valladolid Promesas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Valladolid Promesas VS Real Avila
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Valladolid Promesas
(Home) 03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0 Burgos CF B
26 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
19 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Langreo
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
05 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 4 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0 Burgos CF B
19 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Langreo
05 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 4 Bergantinos
22 Mar
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 2 Real Oviedo B
07 Mar
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 1 Numancia
Page 1 of 3
Real Avila
(Away) 03 May
Real Avila
0 : 4 Deportivo Fabril
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Real Avila
19 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1 Gimnastica Segoviana
12 Apr
Numancia
2 : 1 Real Avila
05 Apr
Real Avila
1 : 2 Langreo
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Real Avila
12 Apr
Numancia
2 : 1 Real Avila
28 Mar
UD Samano
0 : 4 Real Avila
15 Mar
Real Oviedo B
0 : 2 Real Avila
21 Feb
Burgos CF B
1 : 2 Real Avila
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)