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Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valladolid Promesas host Real Avila in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Valladolid Promesas have averaged 2 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Real Avila's 1.43 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Valladolid Promesas slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 7:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward Valladolid Promesas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Valladolid Promesas
15%
Draws
34%
Real Avila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valladolid Promesas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Valladolid Promesas have won more games recently than Real Avila.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Valladolid Promesas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 16%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladolid Promesas Real Avila
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
7:2
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Valladolid Promesas
2:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Valladolid Promesas
2:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Valladolid Promesas vs Real Avila
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladolid Promesas 84 / 100
Real Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladolid Promesas Real Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladolid Promesas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Valladolid Promesas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Real Avila conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Valladolid Promesas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valladolid Promesas VS Real Avila
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladolid Promesas

(Home)
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1
Albacete B
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Real Avila

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
14 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 5 0 3 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)