Sport Picks
Valladolid vs Leganes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga2 Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid 
Match Events
6'
6'
Rubio M.
Assist: Alejo I.
21'
21'
Millan A.
24'
24'
Rubio M.
Assist: Fernandez V.
AI Match Summary
Valladolid in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valladolid.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valladolid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valladolid have won more games recently than Leganes.
- 77% — that's where the model lands on Valladolid taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 68%
Leganes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valladolid | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 2, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Leganes
4:3
Mar 14, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Leganes
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Valladolid
3:0
May 24, 2025 LaLiga
Leganes vs Valladolid
3:0
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Leganes vs Valladolid
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valladolid Compare
Top Goalscorer Rubio M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Arnuncio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Leganes Compare
Top Goalscorer Morata A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Millan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valladolid 95 / 100
Leganes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valladolid Leganes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valladolid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Valladolid found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Leganes has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Valladolid remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Valladolid VS Leganes
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Valladolid
(Home) 02 Nov
Valladolid
4 : 3 Leganes
29 Oct
Covadonga
0 : 1 Valladolid
23 Oct
Granada CF
2 : 1 Valladolid
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3 Eldense
12 Oct
Valladolid
5 : 0 Albacete
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Valladolid
4 : 3 Leganes
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3 Eldense
12 Oct
Valladolid
5 : 0 Albacete
27 Sept
Valladolid
3 : 1 Cordoba
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3 Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 3
Leganes
(Away) 02 Nov
Valladolid
4 : 3 Leganes
24 Oct
Leganes
1 : 1 Mallorca
16 Oct
Leganes
0 : 1 Cordoba
11 Oct
Almeria
3 : 0 Leganes
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0 Leganes
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Valladolid
4 : 3 Leganes
11 Oct
Almeria
3 : 0 Leganes
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0 Leganes
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0 Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0 Leganes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo B | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
