Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valladolid vs Real Oviedo

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Calvo D.
23'
Alejo I.
25' Event
Dominguez C.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between Valladolid and Real Oviedo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Oviedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valladolid
30%
Draws
41%
Real Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Oviedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Valladolid carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Oviedo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 17%
Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladolid Real Oviedo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Real Oviedo
0:3
Feb 23, 2024 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Real Oviedo
3:0
Sep 24, 2023 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Valladolid
0:1
Mar 13, 2022 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Valladolid
3:0
Dec 12, 2021 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Real Oviedo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valladolid Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Real Oviedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calvo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladolid 15 / 100
Real Oviedo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladolid Real Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oviedo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Valladolid remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Valladolid found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Oviedo let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valladolid VS Real Oviedo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valladolid

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0
FC Andorra
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1
Valladolid
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo

(Away)
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
29 Aug
Albacete
0 : 1
Real Oviedo
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
6 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Burgos CF 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
11 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
12 Real Oviedo 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
17 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
18 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
19 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)