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Valle Egues vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Oroz E.
53' Event
Los Arcos G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Valle Egues
35%
Draws
35%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valle Egues lately — more wins on the board than Mutilvera.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 20%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valle Egues Mutilvera
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Mutilvera
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Mutilvera
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Valle Egues
0:3
Mar 24, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Valle Egues
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Valle Egues vs Mutilvera
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valle Egues Compare

Top Goalscorer Oroz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Los Arcos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valle Egues 36 / 100
Mutilvera 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valle Egues Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutilvera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valle Egues found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mutilvera conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Valle Egues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valle Egues VS Mutilvera
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valle Egues

(Home)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 7

Mutilvera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 4 4 0 0 16:2 12
2 Mutilvera 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Subiza 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
4 Gazte Berriak 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
5 Beti Kozkor 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
6 Aoiz 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
7 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 10:6 5
8 Ezcabarte 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
9 Txantrea 4 1 2 1 4:7 5
10 AD San Juan 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
11 CD Beti Onak 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
12 Cortes 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
13 Huarte 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
14 Pamplona 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 CD Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
16 Valle Egues 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
17 Bidezarra 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
18 Cirbonero 4 0 2 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)