Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010

CD Ciempozuelos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vallecas CF play CD Ciempozuelos in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vallecas CF averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. CD Ciempozuelos averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Vallecas CF won 1, CD Ciempozuelos won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2010 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Vallecas CF and 1.88 for CD Ciempozuelos. This points to a Vallecas CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Vallecas CF

32%

Draws

20%

CD Ciempozuelos

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Vallecas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Vallecas CF picked up more points recently compared to CD Ciempozuelos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Vallecas CF Clean Sheet 10%

CD Ciempozuelos Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vallecas CF	CD Ciempozuelos
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	10	3
Draws	10	6
Losses	16	21
Goals Scored	1.33	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.94	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Vallecas CF vs CD Ciempozuelos

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Ciempozuelos vs Vallecas CF

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Ciempozuelos vs Vallecas CF

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Vallecas CF vs CD Ciempozuelos

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vallecas CF 45 / 100

CD Ciempozuelos 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vallecas CF CD Ciempozuelos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vallecas CF or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vallecas CF attacking → ← attacking CD Ciempozuelos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vallecas CF scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

CD Ciempozuelos let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Vallecas CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Ciempozuelos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 15

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano B	38	25	10	3	68:23	85
2	Parla	38	21	11	6	65:33	74
3	Getafe B	38	20	10	8	77:41	70
4	Trival Valderas	38	21	6	11	77:45	69
5	CF Fuenlabrada	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Real Madrid C	38	18	10	10	59:43	64
7	Navalcarnero	38	17	6	15	49:48	57
8	CD Mostoles	38	15	11	12	52:42	56
9	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	6	16	46:47	54
10	AD Colmenar	38	16	5	17	53:54	53
11	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	10	14	55:51	52
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	14	8	16	42:58	50
13	San Sebastian Reyes	38	14	8	16	57:57	50
14	Atletico Pinto	38	12	11	15	43:62	47
15	Vallecas CF	38	12	10	16	46:51	46
16	Mexico	38	10	13	15	46:53	43
17	CD Arganda	38	9	12	17	40:61	39
18	Santa Ana	38	8	6	24	38:73	30
19	CD Ciempozuelos	38	6	6	26	36:80	24
20	Galactico Pegaso	38	6	5	27	27:73	23