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Vallecas CF vs Getafe B

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vallecas CF play Getafe B in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vallecas CF averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Getafe B averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Vallecas CF won 1, Getafe B won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2010 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Vallecas CF and 1.36 for Getafe B. This points to a Getafe B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vallecas CF
18%
Draws
51%
Getafe B
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Getafe B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Vallecas CF picked up more points recently compared to Getafe B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Vallecas CF Clean Sheet 18%
Getafe B Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vallecas CF Getafe B
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vallecas CF vs Getafe B
1:4
Nov 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Getafe B vs Vallecas CF
1:0
May 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vallecas CF vs Getafe B
0:3
Jan 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Getafe B vs Vallecas CF
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vallecas CF 32 / 100
Getafe B 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vallecas CF Getafe B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Getafe B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vallecas CF attacking → ← attacking Getafe B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vallecas CF scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Getafe B let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Vallecas CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Getafe B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rayo Vallecano B382510368:2385
2Parla382111665:3374
3Getafe B382010877:4170
4Trival Valderas382161177:4569
5CF Fuenlabrada382081052:3368
6Real Madrid C3818101059:4364
7Navalcarnero381761549:4857
8CD Mostoles3815111252:4256
9Rayo Majadahonda381661646:4754
10AD Colmenar381651753:5453
11Atl. Madrid C3814101455:5152
12San Fernando de Henares381481642:5850
13San Sebastian Reyes381481657:5750
14Atletico Pinto3812111543:6247
15Vallecas CF3812101646:5146
16Mexico3810131546:5343
17CD Arganda389121740:6139
18Santa Ana38862438:7330
19CD Ciempozuelos38662636:8024
20Galactico Pegaso38652727:7323