Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valletta vs Gzira

Malta Malta

FA Trophy Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Valletta Logo

Valletta

2 - 1
FT
Gzira Logo

Gzira

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Borg A.
34' Event
Andre Carlos
46'
Sub
Yankam Y. In: Adebayo A.
Out: Yankam Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Valletta
20%
Draws
7%
Gzira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Valletta have won more games recently than Gzira.
  • Model gives Valletta a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Valletta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valletta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Valletta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Valletta Clean Sheet 68%
Gzira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valletta Gzira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Valletta
0:3
May 23, 2026 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Gzira
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Gzira
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Valletta
0:2
Oct 28, 2025 Premier League
Valletta vs Gzira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zammit A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbende E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Carlos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valletta 95 / 100
Gzira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valletta Gzira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valletta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valletta scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gzira conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Valletta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valletta VS Gzira
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valletta

(Home)
19 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 3
Valletta
13 Sept
Valletta
2 : 2
Balzan FC
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2
Valletta
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2
Valletta
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2
Marsaxlokk
Page 1 of 6

Gzira

(Away)
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1
Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3
Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0
Gzira
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1