Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Rafael Compri
43'
43'
Mendoza J.
46'
46'
Sub
Rafael Compri In: Xerri S.
Out: Rafael Compri
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Hamrun's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Valletta have produced (1.4).
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Valletta taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Valletta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Valletta Clean Sheet 68%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valletta | Hamrun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
0:2
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Hamrun
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Hamrun
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Valletta
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valletta Compare
Top Goalscorer Yankam Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Meijer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Hamrun Compare
Top Goalscorer El Fanis M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valletta 59 / 100
Hamrun 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valletta Hamrun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valletta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valletta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Valletta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Hamrun has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Valletta VS Hamrun
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Valletta
(Home) 13 Sept
Valletta
2 : 2 Balzan FC
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2 Valletta
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2 Valletta
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3 Valletta
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Valletta
2 : 2 Balzan FC
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
16 Aug
Valletta
4 : 2 Zabbar
30 Jul
Valletta
0 : 4 Rakow Czestochowa
23 May
Valletta
2 : 1 Gzira
Page 1 of 4
Hamrun
(Away) 18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1 Marsaxlokk
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2 Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2 Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1 Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Hamrun
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2 Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2 Hamrun
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Hamrun
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1 : 1 Hamrun
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2 Hamrun
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
