Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Martins A.
50'
50'
Scicluna J.
101'
101'
Akande T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Valletta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valletta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Valletta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Valletta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Valletta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Valletta, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Valletta Clean Sheet 20%
Nadur Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valletta | Nadur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2024 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Nadur
3:1
Jan 23, 2013 FA Trophy
Valletta vs Nadur
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valletta Compare
Top Goalscorer Scicluna J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akande T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Nadur Compare
Top Goalscorer Martins A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valletta 85 / 100
Nadur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valletta Nadur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valletta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valletta scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.
Nadur let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Valletta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valletta VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Valletta
(Home) 19 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 3 Valletta
13 Sept
Valletta
2 : 2 Balzan FC
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2 Valletta
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2 Valletta
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Valletta
2 : 2 Balzan FC
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
16 Aug
Valletta
4 : 2 Zabbar
30 Jul
Valletta
0 : 4 Rakow Czestochowa
23 May
Valletta
2 : 1 Gzira
Page 1 of 4
Nadur
(Away) 01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Birkirkara
4 : 0 Nadur
08 Feb
Hibernians
2 : 0 Nadur
01 Dec
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Nadur
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2
