Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valmiera 2 vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024
Valmiera 2 Logo

Valmiera 2

4 - 0
FT
Marupe Logo

Marupe

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Omori Y.
Assist: Mylchenko A.
46'
Sub
Sadovnikovs R. In: Kholmetskyi Y.
Out: Sadovnikovs R.
46'
Sub
Rotar C. In: Cepelevs D.
Out: Rotar C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2024 game between Valmiera 2 and Marupe finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valmiera 2
30%
Draws
41%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Marupe
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Valmiera 2
2:1
May 18, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Marupe
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omori Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Aruba
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 30 / 100
Marupe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Valmiera 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Marupe let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Valmiera 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marupe
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)